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Qual 72018 IROC
Red254
1086148.1
2363159.9
339128.7
Blue347
540152.1
888164.3
5830115.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318335200250300350400254347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#1
159.90.6
151.8→152.4
Auto21.8
Teleop119.0
End21.9
blue by 4.4
888
#12
164.31.4
172.2→170.8
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End22.1
Second
1086
#5
148.10.8
149.8→149.0
Auto27.5
Teleop112.4
End9.6
blue by 4.0
540
#15
152.10.6
149.2→149.8
Auto17.3
Teleop113.2
End21.2
Third
339
#21
128.73.0
146.8→143.8
Auto17.6
Teleop93.6
End16.7
red by 13.4
5830
#17
115.30.1
115.2→115.0
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed