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Qual 82018 IROC
Red96
5115116.0
2068108.4
1123107.2
Blue318
2914105.4
3373110.4
611149.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253310010020040050060070080096318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#16
116.01.2
126.0→124.8
Auto16.3
Teleop87.6
End11.7
blue by 33.4
611
#14
149.31.2
145.4→146.6
Auto17.7
Teleop110.4
End21.1
Second
2068
#24
108.40.3
109.3→109.0
Auto16.5
Teleop82.2
End10.6
blue by 2.1
3373
#27
110.41.4
117.7→116.3
Auto16.0
Teleop89.5
End3.1
Third
1123
#20
107.20.9
109.8→110.7
Auto15.6
Teleop81.7
End11.0
red by 1.8
2914
#23
105.42.8
113.5→110.7
Auto14.5
Teleop85.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed