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Qual 92018 IROC
Red291
6239124.5
2186125.7
346166.6
Blue371
4099139.5
623170.6
5549117.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3353030100200400500291371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#2
166.61.6
173.1171.5
Auto20.8
Teleop116.2
End29.6
blue by 4.1
623
#7
170.61.2
171.1169.8
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
Second
2186
#32
125.70.2
125.1125.0
Auto13.3
Teleop100.9
End11.9
blue by 13.7
139.50.2
138.5138.3
Auto18.4
Teleop109.4
End11.9
Third
6239
#11
124.50.8
120.8121.6
Auto13.9
Teleop86.4
End28.0
red by 7.3
5549
#13
117.21.4
120.5119.0
Auto17.8
Teleop90.0
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed