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Qual 102018 IROC
Red364
2537158.9
122147.1
612150.7
Blue162
620136.5
1389110.1
1885160.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38326502006008001,000364162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#10
158.90.6
162.8→162.1
Auto21.4
Teleop117.6
End18.2
blue by 1.2
1885
#29
160.10.6
168.9→168.3
Auto17.6
Teleop121.4
End20.2
Second
612
#30
150.72.1
171.6→169.5
Auto19.3
Teleop119.2
End10.2
red by 14.2
620
#28
136.52.0
145.8→143.8
Auto18.5
Teleop100.1
End15.9
Third
122
#3
147.11.1
149.1→148.0
Auto16.2
Teleop119.3
End12.5
red by 36.9
1389
#31
110.10.4
112.7→112.3
Auto19.7
Teleop80.6
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed