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Qual 112018 IROC
Red280
1895139.1
9991106.4
4472164.8
Blue157
422150.8
1418160.4
4514121.2
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30534902006008001,0001,2001,400280157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#9
164.81.0
170.5→169.5
Auto19.0
Teleop123.9
End21.2
red by 4.4
1418
#33
160.40.4
173.3→173.0
Auto20.3
Teleop113.9
End25.0
Second
1895
#22
139.10.2
142.7→142.5
Auto17.0
Teleop104.2
End14.0
blue by 11.7
422
#19
150.81.6
166.1→164.5
Auto18.6
Teleop121.9
End7.0
Third
9991
#4
106.414.1
77.7→91.9
Auto11.3
Teleop86.9
End10.8
blue by 14.8
4514
#18
121.21.3
122.6→123.9
Auto14.3
Teleop95.9
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed