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Qual 122018 IROC
Red359
2068108.4
540152.1
3373110.4
Blue236
5338153.0
5830115.3
2537158.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23636206008001,000359236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#15
152.10.3
149.8150.1
Auto17.3
Teleop113.2
End21.2
blue by 6.7
2537
#10
158.90.4
162.1161.8
Auto21.4
Teleop117.6
End18.2
Second
3373
#27
110.41.3
116.3115.0
Auto16.0
Teleop89.5
End3.1
blue by 42.6
5338
#26
153.03.5
166.3162.8
Auto16.5
Teleop121.4
End12.4
Third
2068
#24
108.41.0
109.0108.0
Auto16.5
Teleop82.2
End10.6
blue by 6.9
5830
#17
115.30.3
115.0114.7
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed