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Qual 132018 IROC
Red275
1885160.1
6239124.5
1731169.3
Blue307
4514121.2
1895139.1
888164.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37328402006008001,0001,200275307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#6
169.31.6
178.3→176.7
Auto22.0
Teleop126.0
End21.5
red by 5.1
888
#12
164.31.3
170.8→169.5
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End22.1
Second
1885
#29
160.11.0
168.3→167.3
Auto17.6
Teleop121.4
End20.2
red by 20.9
1895
#22
139.10.5
142.5→142.0
Auto17.0
Teleop104.2
End14.0
Third
6239
#11
124.50.7
121.6→122.4
Auto13.9
Teleop86.4
End28.0
red by 3.3
4514
#18
121.20.8
123.9→123.1
Auto14.3
Teleop95.9
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed