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Red347
3316182.6
2231164.0
3065130.8
Blue432
5987175.3
3339176.8
5990150.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327356200300400500600347432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.60.1
182.4182.5
Auto24.9
Teleop134.2
End24.3
red by 5.8
176.80.6
174.4175.0
Auto26.3
Teleop129.5
End26.0
Second
164.00.3
163.4163.7
Auto23.4
Teleop133.2
End7.9
blue by 11.3
5987
#10
175.30.4
173.7174.1
Auto22.3
Teleop136.8
End17.7
Third
3065
#39
130.80.1
130.9130.8
Auto17.2
Teleop99.3
End14.0
blue by 20.1
5990
#24
150.90.0
150.8150.7
Auto18.0
Teleop111.3
End20.8