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Red440
1690177.5
5554173.1
5951141.0
Blue396
2630188.5
5291168.0
4320125.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365339250300400450500440396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.50.2
176.7176.9
Auto22.3
Teleop139.4
End16.3
blue by 11.0
188.50.0
188.4188.5
Auto21.1
Teleop141.5
End27.4
Second
173.10.4
171.5171.9
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.9
red by 5.1
168.00.3
167.3167.6
Auto18.8
Teleop130.8
End19.2
Third
5951
#21
141.00.0
140.7140.7
Auto17.9
Teleop109.3
End14.9
red by 15.3
4320
#22
125.60.5
124.7125.2
Auto17.2
Teleop94.8
End17.4