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Red453
1690177.5
5554173.1
5951141.0
Blue299
3835174.8
5654184.2
5614166.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359351300320340380400420440453299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.50.1
176.6176.7
Auto22.3
Teleop139.4
End16.3
blue by 6.7
5654
#12
184.20.1
184.3184.2
Auto22.2
Teleop129.5
End32.3
Second
173.10.3
171.2171.5
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.9
blue by 1.7
3835
#25
174.80.6
175.4174.8
Auto20.1
Teleop135.5
End14.8
Third
5951
#21
141.00.0
140.7140.7
Auto17.9
Teleop109.3
End14.9
blue by 25.1
5614
#18
166.10.1
166.2166.1
Auto22.2
Teleop124.4
End18.2