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Red379
2630188.5
5291168.0
4320125.6
Blue428
3075169.4
7039145.9
2212139.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376318200400500600379428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.50.0
188.4188.4
Auto21.1
Teleop141.5
End27.4
red by 19.1
3075
#26
169.40.2
168.6168.8
Auto22.2
Teleop124.4
End24.4
Second
168.00.4
166.3166.6
Auto18.8
Teleop130.8
End19.2
red by 22.1
7039
#11
145.90.4
144.5144.9
Auto19.8
Teleop110.9
End17.4
Third
4320
#22
125.60.6
123.0123.6
Auto17.2
Teleop94.8
End17.4
blue by 14.1
2212
#14
139.80.3
140.5140.1
Auto24.7
Teleop105.3
End9.8