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Red167
2230131.6
5654184.2
3034145.6
Blue381
6104167.5
3339176.8
2231164.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3123700200600800167381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#12
184.20.8
187.4188.2
Auto22.2
Teleop129.5
End32.3
red by 7.4
176.80.5
166.5167.0
Auto26.3
Teleop129.5
End26.0
Second
3034
#33
145.60.2
148.5148.7
Auto17.3
Teleop112.2
End19.6
blue by 21.9
6104
#16
167.50.0
165.8165.8
Auto19.8
Teleop123.8
End23.7
Third
2230
#42
131.60.0
131.7131.7
Auto19.3
Teleop100.5
End10.6
blue by 32.4
164.00.5
160.0159.5
Auto23.4
Teleop133.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed