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Red316
2679155.4
5990150.9
1657154.0
Blue411
5554173.1
7079148.1
3075169.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365360300400450500316411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2679
#37
155.41.5
154.5156.0
Auto19.8
Teleop113.2
End20.6
blue by 17.6
173.11.2
153.0154.2
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.9
Second
1657
#20
154.01.8
169.0167.2
Auto21.1
Teleop115.8
End16.8
blue by 15.4
3075
#26
169.40.5
170.5169.9
Auto22.2
Teleop124.4
End24.4
Third
5990
#24
150.91.8
143.0144.8
Auto18.0
Teleop111.3
End20.8
red by 2.7
7079
#15
148.11.7
133.0134.7
Auto18.6
Teleop112.3
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed