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Red102
1942130.8
5635134.3
4320125.6
Blue412
4590124.8
3316182.6
5951141.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663680100200300400500600102412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5635
#13DQ
134.31.8
144.0142.2
Auto18.2
Teleop103.8
End12.4
blue by 48.4
182.61.9
170.8172.7
Auto24.9
Teleop134.2
End24.3
Second
1942
#45
130.80.4
145.1144.7
Auto17.0
Teleop94.1
End18.5
blue by 10.1
5951
#21
141.01.6
136.6138.2
Auto17.9
Teleop109.3
End14.9
Third
4320
#22
125.60.2
126.9126.7
Auto17.2
Teleop94.8
End17.4
red by 0.8
4590
#41
124.80.4
124.0124.4
Auto16.2
Teleop96.4
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed