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Red390
5987175.3
1577197.8
6741124.2
Blue384
4590124.8
6230121.7
1574218.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369325250300350400450500550390384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.80.8
186.6187.4
Auto22.2
Teleop140.1
End33.9
blue by 20.3
218.10.0
214.1214.1
Auto23.8
Teleop159.0
End33.1
Second
5987
#10
175.30.9
168.8169.6
Auto22.3
Teleop136.8
End17.7
red by 50.5
4590
#41
124.80.1
125.4125.3
Auto16.2
Teleop96.4
End12.7
Third
6741
#27
124.20.5
124.7125.2
Auto17.3
Teleop92.8
End11.6
red by 2.5
6230
#29
121.70.3
119.8120.1
Auto17.2
Teleop95.9
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed