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Red315
7079148.1
5635134.3
5291168.0
Blue223
3835174.8
158095.0
3211128.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331297100200400500315223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.00.1
161.9161.9
Auto18.8
Teleop130.8
End19.2
blue by 6.8
3835
#25
174.82.0
171.6173.5
Auto20.1
Teleop135.5
End14.8
Second
7079
#15
148.11.8
136.3138.1
Auto18.6
Teleop112.3
End17.4
red by 19.5
3211
#35
128.60.1
131.9131.8
Auto20.2
Teleop94.7
End14.5
Third
5635
#13
134.31.5
139.8138.3
Auto18.2
Teleop103.8
End12.4
red by 39.2
1580
#32
95.00.1
98.398.3
Auto15.4
Teleop75.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed