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Red273
1657154.0
4590124.8
4320125.6
Blue438
158095.0
5715130.6
1577197.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291336100150200250400450273438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#20
154.01.5
156.6155.1
Auto21.1
Teleop115.8
End16.8
blue by 43.8
197.81.9
188.7190.5
Auto22.2
Teleop140.1
End33.9
Second
4320
#22
125.60.5
123.2122.7
Auto17.2
Teleop94.8
End17.4
blue by 5.0
5715
#19
130.60.3
125.6125.9
Auto21.7
Teleop98.0
End17.0
Third
4590
#41
124.80.2
124.2124.0
Auto16.2
Teleop96.4
End12.7
red by 29.8
1580
#32
95.01.1
96.095.0
Auto15.4
Teleop75.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsEarned