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Red275
4744121.4
3211128.6
2679155.4
Blue411
1942130.8
5614166.1
3083136.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30835802006008001,0001,2001,4001,600275411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2679
#37
155.40.4
156.4156.9
Auto19.8
Teleop113.2
End20.6
blue by 10.7
5614
#18
166.11.0
168.6167.5
Auto22.2
Teleop124.4
End18.2
Second
3211
#35
128.60.1
129.6129.5
Auto20.2
Teleop94.7
End14.5
blue by 8.3
3083
#28
136.90.1
135.9136.0
Auto17.7
Teleop97.9
End22.9
Third
4744
#43
121.40.2
122.3122.1
Auto17.4
Teleop92.4
End11.6
blue by 9.5
1942
#45
130.81.5
133.6132.1
Auto17.0
Teleop94.1
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed