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Red322
6740114.6
6230121.7
3339176.8
Blue312
7079148.1
4590124.8
4586149.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278341100200400500600322312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.80.6
169.7170.3
Auto26.3
Teleop129.5
End26.0
red by 27.3
4586
#17
149.51.0
146.2147.3
Auto17.0
Teleop112.7
End17.8
Second
6230
#29
121.70.0
120.0120.0
Auto17.2
Teleop95.9
End15.1
blue by 26.4
7079
#15
148.11.6
143.0144.6
Auto18.6
Teleop112.3
End17.4
Third
6740
#44
114.61.3
116.3115.1
Auto12.2
Teleop94.6
End7.7
blue by 10.2
4590
#41
124.80.0
124.0124.0
Auto16.2
Teleop96.4
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed