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Red404
5291168.0
1942130.8
5990150.9
Blue285
6741124.2
5654184.2
7177127.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388318100200500600404285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.01.0
163.7164.7
Auto18.8
Teleop130.8
End19.2
blue by 16.3
5654
#12
184.20.4
186.1185.7
Auto22.2
Teleop129.5
End32.3
Second
5990
#24
150.91.0
148.8149.8
Auto18.0
Teleop111.3
End20.8
red by 23.7
7177
#30
127.20.8
125.8126.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.7
End14.9
Third
1942
#45
130.80.7
132.1131.3
Auto17.0
Teleop94.1
End18.5
red by 6.6
6741
#27
124.20.1
125.9126.0
Auto17.3
Teleop92.8
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed