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Red377
4320125.6
1574218.1
3316182.6
Blue193
2630188.5
1690177.5
3835174.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317420200500600700377193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.10.6
216.3216.9
Auto23.8
Teleop159.0
End33.1
red by 29.5
188.52.1
186.4188.5
Auto21.1
Teleop141.5
End27.4
Second
182.60.2
181.4181.5
Auto24.9
Teleop134.2
End24.3
red by 5.1
177.51.8
174.9176.7
Auto22.3
Teleop139.4
End16.3
Third
4320
#22
125.60.1
122.6122.6
Auto17.2
Teleop94.8
End17.4
blue by 49.2
3835
#25
174.80.7
177.2177.9
Auto20.1
Teleop135.5
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed