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Red233
3835174.8
7177127.2
4590124.8
Blue425
7039145.9
1657154.0
5614166.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301366100200400500600233425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3835
#25
174.81.3
177.9176.6
Auto20.1
Teleop135.5
End14.8
red by 8.7
5614
#18
166.11.0
167.2166.2
Auto22.2
Teleop124.4
End18.2
Second
7177
#30
127.20.5
126.7127.2
Auto15.6
Teleop95.7
End14.9
blue by 26.8
1657
#20
154.00.3
153.7154.0
Auto21.1
Teleop115.8
End16.8
Third
4590
#41
124.80.8
124.0124.8
Auto16.2
Teleop96.4
End12.7
blue by 21.1
7039
#11
145.90.7
143.8144.5
Auto19.8
Teleop110.9
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed