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Red219
2212139.8
5554173.1
158095.0
Blue444
5987175.3
6104167.5
3211128.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733810100200500600219444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.11.8
168.0169.8
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.9
blue by 2.2
5987
#10
175.31.3
172.0173.3
Auto22.3
Teleop136.8
End17.7
Second
2212
#14
139.80.2
140.7140.5
Auto24.7
Teleop105.3
End9.8
blue by 27.8
6104
#16
167.50.2
167.7167.5
Auto19.8
Teleop123.8
End23.7
Third
1580
#32
95.00.9
95.995.0
Auto15.4
Teleop75.1
End0.5
blue by 33.6
3211
#35
128.60.8
129.4128.6
Auto20.2
Teleop94.7
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed