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Red461
5291152.2
6104157.8
1937126.1
Blue165
3034139.5
3211134.8
4590131.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302920100200400500600700461165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.80.0
157.6157.6
Auto20.9
Teleop113.8
End22.2
red by 18.3
3034
#18
139.50.1
139.4139.5
Auto13.8
Teleop109.1
End14.8
Second
152.20.2
152.4152.3
Auto17.8
Teleop116.5
End14.6
red by 17.4
134.80.0
135.1135.2
Auto22.7
Teleop101.2
End7.3
Third
1937
#15
126.10.2
125.6125.8
Auto16.5
Teleop98.3
End11.2
blue by 5.6
4590
#20
131.60.1
131.7131.8
Auto14.9
Teleop104.2
End9.1