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Red418
1690148.5
2630152.5
4338113.6
Blue218
3316141.1
1657157.6
1943104.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342291100200400500600418218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.50.9
148.9149.8
Auto20.2
Teleop121.2
End14.0
blue by 5.1
157.60.4
156.8157.2
Auto17.8
Teleop117.9
End23.0
Second
148.50.0
148.3148.2
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
red by 7.4
3316
#11
141.10.3
140.5140.8
Auto19.8
Teleop107.2
End17.7
Third
4338
#29
113.60.4
111.7112.1
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.7
red by 9.2
1943
#32
104.40.2
104.0104.2
Auto13.7
Teleop78.8
End13.3