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Red188
5291152.2
6104157.8
1937126.1
Blue387
3034139.5
3211134.8
4590131.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412810100200400500600700188387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.80.1
157.6157.8
Auto20.9
Teleop113.8
End22.2
red by 18.3
3034
#18
139.50.0
139.5139.5
Auto13.8
Teleop109.1
End14.8
Second
152.20.0
152.3152.2
Auto17.8
Teleop116.5
End14.6
red by 17.4
134.80.1
135.2135.0
Auto22.7
Teleop101.2
End7.3
Third
1937
#15
126.10.3
125.8126.1
Auto16.5
Teleop98.3
End11.2
blue by 5.6
4590
#20
131.60.1
131.8131.7
Auto14.9
Teleop104.2
End9.1