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Red348
1690148.5
2630152.5
4338113.6
Blue176
4586122.4
7067119.4
2230119.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242390100200400500600348176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.50.9
147.2148.0
Auto20.2
Teleop121.2
End14.0
red by 30.2
4586
#12
122.40.4
123.1122.7
Auto14.3
Teleop94.8
End11.9
Second
148.50.2
148.6148.4
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
red by 29.0
2230
#16
119.50.2
119.9119.7
Auto15.4
Teleop97.6
End3.6
Third
4338
#29
113.60.3
111.1111.4
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.7
blue by 5.8
7067
#10
119.40.4
118.7119.1
Auto15.3
Teleop89.3
End18.9