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Red277
4338113.6
4590131.6
4319103.5
Blue377
1574190.2
2679123.1
604990.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2342870100200400500600700277377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#20
131.67.2
105.1112.4
Auto14.9
Teleop104.2
End9.1
blue by 58.6
190.29.7
121.1130.8
Auto26.1
Teleop138.2
End28.0
Second
4338
#29
113.63.7
102.9106.6
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.7
blue by 9.4
2679
#21
123.14.5
105.5110.0
Auto17.5
Teleop94.5
End14.4
Third
4319
#23
103.55.1
86.291.3
Auto15.8
Teleop85.8
End0.3
red by 13.0
6049
#33
90.52.1
90.993.1
Auto14.0
Teleop74.0
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed