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Red382
2630152.5
6104157.8
5038129.6
Blue181
1690148.5
3316141.1
5928110.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353400100200300400500600382181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6104
#6Sur
157.87.1
104.2111.3
Auto20.9
Teleop113.8
End22.2
red by 9.3
1690
#4Sur
148.55.7
143.0148.6
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
Second
152.51.7
114.2115.9
Auto20.2
Teleop121.2
End14.0
red by 11.4
3316
#11
141.17.1
113.0120.1
Auto19.8
Teleop107.2
End17.7
Third
5038
#27
129.63.1
111.0114.1
Auto13.9
Teleop106.7
End6.5
red by 19.5
5928
#34
110.16.5
107.7114.1
Auto13.1
Teleop90.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed