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Red145
1943104.4
3034139.5
2212131.7
Blue301
6738124.9
1577165.0
1937126.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264267150200250300145301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3034
#18
139.58.2
107.7115.8
Auto13.8
Teleop109.1
End14.8
blue by 25.5
1577
#2Sur
165.06.2
111.5117.7
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End25.8
Second
2212
#13
131.75.4
108.4113.8
Auto22.9
Teleop101.7
End6.7
red by 5.6
1937
#15
126.14.3
108.1112.4
Auto16.5
Teleop98.3
End11.2
Third
1943
#32Sur
104.40.3
104.8105.1
Auto13.7
Teleop78.8
End13.3
blue by 20.4
6738
#19
124.93.0
107.2110.1
Auto15.4
Teleop96.1
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed