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Red229
2212131.7
604990.5
6741117.9
Blue339
4338113.6
6149101.4
1690148.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323140100200400500600229339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#13
131.72.5
113.8116.3
Auto22.9
Teleop101.7
End6.7
blue by 16.8
148.52.6
148.7151.3
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
Second
6741
#24
117.91.3
108.0109.3
Auto16.4
Teleop88.7
End12.5
red by 4.2
4338
#29
113.63.8
106.6110.5
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.7
Third
6049
#33
90.53.7
93.196.8
Auto14.0
Teleop74.0
End-0.9
blue by 10.9
6149
#17
101.42.4
105.4107.8
Auto12.1
Teleop86.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed