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Red325
475797.5
1577165.0
7112103.0
Blue294
4319103.5
5951127.9
5928110.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252250150200300350325294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.03.2
123.3126.5
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End25.8
red by 37.1
5951
#22
127.94.1
115.1119.2
Auto15.9
Teleop103.9
End8.6
Second
103.00.4
97.597.1
Auto15.2
Teleop85.6
End0.8
blue by 7.1
5928
#34
110.11.3
114.8113.5
Auto13.1
Teleop90.0
End3.0
Third
4757
#30
97.50.9
98.797.7
Auto13.2
Teleop81.8
End3.9
blue by 6.0
4319
#23
103.55.7
96.1101.7
Auto15.8
Teleop85.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed