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Red206
4590131.6
5038129.6
6168117.0
Blue283
6104157.8
1576105.5
5636105.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3072290100200400500600206283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#20
131.62.5
124.9127.4
Auto14.9
Teleop104.2
End9.1
blue by 26.1
157.88.9
119.9128.9
Auto20.9
Teleop113.8
End22.2
Second
5038
#27
129.63.4
120.0123.4
Auto13.9
Teleop106.7
End6.5
red by 23.9
5636
#25
105.72.2
96.598.6
Auto14.6
Teleop91.2
End-0.8
Third
6168
#26
117.02.9
110.7113.6
Auto14.8
Teleop91.1
End10.7
red by 11.5
1576
#28
105.51.4
101.7100.3
Auto17.0
Teleop80.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed