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Red260
6149101.4
2630152.5
6738124.9
Blue214
1657157.6
1937126.1
604990.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268279150200250300350400260214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.55.9
120.8126.7
Auto20.2
Teleop121.2
End14.0
blue by 5.1
157.67.0
126.5133.5
Auto17.8
Teleop117.9
End23.0
Second
6738
#19
124.94.8
113.5118.4
Auto15.4
Teleop96.1
End15.4
blue by 1.2
1937
#15
126.12.3
116.7119.0
Auto16.5
Teleop98.3
End11.2
Third
6149
#17
101.40.7
107.8108.5
Auto12.1
Teleop86.3
End1.1
red by 10.9
6049
#33
90.53.4
96.8100.1
Auto14.0
Teleop74.0
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed