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Red178
2230119.5
2212131.7
6104157.8
Blue277
4586122.4
1574190.2
4319103.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282900100200400500600700178277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.82.2
155.3157.4
Auto20.9
Teleop113.8
End22.2
blue by 32.5
190.22.9
182.6185.5
Auto26.1
Teleop138.2
End28.0
Second
2212
#13
131.71.7
129.9131.6
Auto22.9
Teleop101.7
End6.7
red by 9.3
4586
#12
122.42.1
125.2123.1
Auto14.3
Teleop94.8
End11.9
Third
2230
#16
119.50.9
119.0119.9
Auto15.4
Teleop97.6
End3.6
red by 16.0
4319
#23
103.51.2
104.7103.5
Auto15.8
Teleop85.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed