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Red435
1577165.0
2630152.5
5291152.2
Blue42
7067119.4
604990.5
4586122.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33825110020030040050043542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.03.9
130.8134.7
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End25.8
red by 42.7
4586
#12
122.46.2
121.1127.3
Auto14.3
Teleop94.8
End11.9
Second
152.52.5
130.7133.2
Auto20.2
Teleop121.2
End14.0
red by 33.1
7067
#10
119.44.9
111.8116.7
Auto15.3
Teleop89.3
End18.9
Third
152.25.5
131.4136.9
Auto17.8
Teleop116.5
End14.6
red by 61.7
6049
#33DQ
90.51.1
102.1103.1
Auto14.0
Teleop74.0
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed