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Red480
1937126.1
1574190.2
4338113.6
Blue182
1690148.5
5636105.7
3211134.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300298200250350400450480182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.26.6
153.4159.9
Auto26.1
Teleop138.2
End28.0
red by 41.7
148.51.0
152.3153.3
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
Second
1937
#15
126.11.2
120.2121.5
Auto16.5
Teleop98.3
End11.2
blue by 8.8
134.82.2
131.0133.2
Auto22.7
Teleop101.2
End7.3
Third
4338
#29
113.62.6
112.7110.1
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.7
red by 7.9
5636
#25
105.72.8
101.8104.6
Auto14.6
Teleop91.2
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed