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Red45
6738124.9
4319103.5
604990.5
Blue151
5038129.6
464982.2
6741117.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2652595010015020030035045151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#19
124.92.9
121.6124.5
Auto15.4
Teleop96.1
End15.4
blue by 4.8
5038
#27
129.62.5
124.8127.3
Auto13.9
Teleop106.7
End6.5
Second
4319
#23
103.53.7
101.7105.4
Auto15.8
Teleop85.8
End0.3
blue by 14.4
6741
#24
117.91.6
114.1115.7
Auto16.4
Teleop88.7
End12.5
Third
6049
#33
90.52.8
103.1100.4
Auto14.0
Teleop74.0
End-0.9
red by 8.3
4649
#31
82.22.7
91.388.6
Auto12.5
Teleop67.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed