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Red390
1574190.2
475797.5
7067119.4
Blue138
5038129.6
3211134.8
4319103.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330264100200300400500600390138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.25.9
171.2177.1
Auto26.1
Teleop138.2
End28.0
red by 55.4
134.81.1
134.5135.6
Auto22.7
Teleop101.2
End7.3
Second
7067
#10
119.41.2
115.5116.7
Auto15.3
Teleop89.3
End18.9
blue by 10.2
5038
#27
129.61.0
130.1131.1
Auto13.9
Teleop106.7
End6.5
Third
4757
#30
97.50.0
96.296.3
Auto13.2
Teleop81.8
End3.9
blue by 6.0
4319
#23
103.50.8
104.7105.5
Auto15.8
Teleop85.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed