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Red131
4338113.6
1657157.6
5928110.1
Blue363
1577165.0
4590131.6
464982.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290287150200250350400131363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.64.0
151.4155.3
Auto17.8
Teleop117.9
End23.0
blue by 7.4
165.05.3
146.2151.5
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End25.8
Second
4338
#29
113.61.9
110.0111.9
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.7
blue by 18.0
4590
#20
131.60.4
130.6130.2
Auto14.9
Teleop104.2
End9.1
Third
5928
#34
110.10.8
113.4112.6
Auto13.1
Teleop90.0
End3.0
red by 27.9
4649
#31
82.22.0
83.981.9
Auto12.5
Teleop67.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed