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Red133
5636105.7
6168117.0
4586122.4
Blue282
6738124.9
5990125.9
2212131.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256295100200400500133282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#12
122.41.8
127.0125.2
Auto14.3
Teleop94.8
End11.9
blue by 9.3
2212
#13
131.71.3
128.6129.9
Auto22.9
Teleop101.7
End6.7
Second
6168
#26
117.01.8
115.0116.8
Auto14.8
Teleop91.1
End10.7
blue by 8.8
5990
#14
125.92.7
119.4122.1
Auto13.2
Teleop98.1
End18.1
Third
5636
#25
105.71.1
104.9106.0
Auto14.6
Teleop91.2
End-0.8
blue by 19.1
6738
#19
124.90.3
124.5124.2
Auto15.4
Teleop96.1
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed