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Red220
1576105.5
5038129.6
1574190.2
Blue359
3034139.5
1937126.1
2630152.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3163010200400600800220359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.25.5
177.1182.6
Auto26.1
Teleop138.2
End28.0
red by 37.7
152.52.5
144.7147.2
Auto20.2
Teleop121.2
End14.0
Second
5038
#27
129.60.5
131.1130.6
Auto13.9
Teleop106.7
End6.5
blue by 9.9
3034
#18
139.50.6
139.8139.2
Auto13.8
Teleop109.1
End14.8
Third
1576
#28
105.50.5
106.0105.5
Auto17.0
Teleop80.2
End6.0
blue by 20.5
1937
#15
126.10.2
125.1125.3
Auto16.5
Teleop98.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed