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Red287
464982.2
2230119.5
3211134.8
Blue207
3316141.1
4319103.5
1577165.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193490100300400500600700287207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.80.5
135.6135.1
Auto22.7
Teleop101.2
End7.3
blue by 30.2
165.05.3
151.5156.7
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End25.8
Second
2230
#16
119.50.8
118.3119.0
Auto15.4
Teleop97.6
End3.6
blue by 21.7
3316
#11
141.11.6
138.3140.0
Auto19.8
Teleop107.2
End17.7
Third
4649
#31
82.20.2
81.982.2
Auto12.5
Teleop67.6
End2.6
blue by 21.3
4319
#23
103.50.8
105.5104.7
Auto15.8
Teleop85.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed