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Red180
604990.5
5928110.1
6168117.0
Blue202
2679123.1
5636105.7
7067119.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1943230100400500600180202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#26
117.00.3
116.8117.0
Auto14.8
Teleop91.1
End10.7
blue by 6.0
2679
#21
123.10.7
121.9122.6
Auto17.5
Teleop94.5
End14.4
Second
5928
#34
110.12.5
112.6110.1
Auto13.1
Teleop90.0
End3.0
blue by 9.4
7067
#10
119.42.0
116.7118.7
Auto15.3
Teleop89.3
End18.9
Third
6049
#33
90.53.6
94.190.5
Auto14.0
Teleop74.0
End-0.9
blue by 15.2
5636
#25
105.70.2
106.0105.7
Auto14.6
Teleop91.2
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed