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Red350
6149101.4
6104157.8
1577165.0
Blue252
5990125.9
1690148.5
1943104.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344253100200300400500600700350252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.02.9
156.7159.6
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End25.8
red by 16.5
148.51.0
149.6148.6
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
Second
157.81.9
153.3155.3
Auto20.9
Teleop113.8
End22.2
red by 31.9
5990
#14
125.92.7
122.1124.8
Auto13.2
Teleop98.1
End18.1
Third
6149
#17
101.43.4
104.7101.4
Auto12.1
Teleop86.3
End1.1
blue by 3.1
1943
#32
104.40.2
103.4103.6
Auto13.7
Teleop78.8
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed