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Red391
3835135.6
5614152.7
6736116.4
Blue239
2096130.7
6740141.5
3388126.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320280100200400500391239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.70.2
151.7152.0
Auto18.8
Teleop115.2
End16.5
red by 11.1
6740
#12
141.50.4
141.9141.5
Auto12.3
Teleop108.3
End19.4
Second
135.60.6
133.6134.2
Auto17.6
Teleop106.0
End12.5
red by 4.8
2096
#19
130.70.3
130.4130.7
Auto16.4
Teleop96.9
End18.0
Third
6736
#13
116.40.5
114.8115.3
Auto13.6
Teleop94.4
End9.2
blue by 10.1
3388
#17
126.50.1
126.4126.5
Auto17.8
Teleop95.8
End13.1