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Red166
3835135.6
5614152.7
6736116.4
Blue415
3075143.5
2231157.2
4320122.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313314200250300350400166415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.70.3
152.3152.7
Auto18.8
Teleop115.2
End16.5
blue by 4.5
157.20.4
155.8156.2
Auto21.7
Teleop120.7
End14.3
Second
135.60.6
134.9135.6
Auto17.6
Teleop106.0
End12.5
blue by 7.9
143.50.9
140.6141.5
Auto20.1
Teleop108.8
End18.6
Third
6736
#13
116.40.5
115.9116.4
Auto13.6
Teleop94.4
End9.2
blue by 6.5
4320
#33
122.90.2
122.1122.3
Auto12.6
Teleop96.2
End14.3