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Red450
3075143.5
2231157.2
4320122.9
Blue345
5635140.4
3065145.8
6741118.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348302100200400500600700450345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.20.4
154.6155.0
Auto21.7
Teleop120.7
End14.3
red by 11.4
145.80.1
145.5145.6
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
Second
143.51.1
137.3138.5
Auto20.1
Teleop108.8
End18.6
red by 3.1
140.40.6
139.2139.8
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End13.7
Third
4320
#33
122.90.2
121.5121.7
Auto12.6
Teleop96.2
End14.3
red by 4.5
6741
#20
118.40.5
117.3117.9
Auto17.4
Teleop88.5
End15.5