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Red306
7039107.3
5654155.3
1942138.3
Blue433
5987141.8
2679152.2
4744110.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3203410100200400500600700800306433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#11
155.31.4
148.5149.9
Auto22.1
Teleop110.9
End27.2
red by 3.1
152.20.9
149.7150.6
Auto21.1
Teleop108.7
End26.7
Second
1942
#18
138.31.0
133.3134.3
Auto18.8
Teleop104.5
End20.5
blue by 3.4
5987
#16
141.80.7
139.7140.4
Auto20.5
Teleop111.8
End10.4
Third
7039
#28
107.30.0
106.3106.4
Auto15.5
Teleop89.5
End3.2
blue by 2.8
4744
#26
110.10.4
108.8109.2
Auto13.8
Teleop84.2
End12.5