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Red377
3075143.5
2231157.2
4320122.9
Blue283
5635140.4
3065145.8
6741118.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349304100200400500600700377283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.20.4
155.0155.4
Auto21.7
Teleop120.7
End14.3
red by 11.4
145.80.2
145.6145.8
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
Second
143.51.0
138.5139.5
Auto20.1
Teleop108.8
End18.6
red by 3.1
140.40.6
139.8140.4
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End13.7
Third
4320
#33
122.90.2
121.7121.9
Auto12.6
Teleop96.2
End14.3
red by 4.5
6741
#20
118.40.5
117.9118.4
Auto17.4
Teleop88.5
End15.5